We’ve been hovering close to 100% for a while now but, with the staging-next merge a few days ago, it’s finally happened: https://r13y.com/ (Is NixOS Reproducible?)
If I’ve done everything correctly, the 21.05 ISO also passes the check on my machine, hoorray!
Feel free to verify everything yourself; getting @grahamc’s r13y script running is trivial (I’d recommend running it inside a Docker container, though remember to enable sandboxing!)
Next goal: 100% reproducible GNOME ISO 